RUSHTON

Independent Prediction Market Ratings

← TODAY'S MARKETS
FINANCIAL · Silver · KALSHI

Will Silver finish above $64.00?

● LIVE   ·   Trading closes 5:00pm ET • Mon 28 Sep 2026
Today's Market
62%
YES PROBABILITY
Historical Probability
54%
YES OUTCOME
Difference
-8pp
HISTORY VS MARKET
Rushton Rating
RUSHTON RATING
61.0
/ 100
MODERATE
HOW MUCH ATTENTION SHOULD I PAY TO THIS MARKET?
Higher Ratings indicate greater confidence in Rushton's historical assessment of this market.
COMPARABILITY
81.0
How closely today's market can be compared with relevant historical markets.
EVIDENCE DEPTH
31.0
How substantial and useful the supporting historical evidence is.
RATING METHOD · 60% COMPARABILITY · 40% EVIDENCE DEPTH
Market vs History
INDEPENDENT ASSESSMENT FINDING
Historical evidence is broadly balanced between YES and NO.
The difference between today's market probability and historical probability is reported separately. It does not determine the Rushton Rating.
Current Market Regime
CURRENT REGIME
MODERATELY BULLISH
SUBDUED VOLATILITY
24H +0.0%
7D +11.4%
30D +5.9%
Recent underlying market direction. Context only — not currently weighted in the Rushton Rating.
Evidence
Historical Similarity
81/100
QUALITY OF HISTORICAL MATCH
Comparable Markets
39
QUALIFYING HISTORICAL MARKETS
Evidence Used
39
MARKETS USED IN ASSESSMENT
Market Probability
Market data supplied by Kalshi. Rushton independently rates prediction markets and their underlying market prices. Rushton Ratings are not financial, investment, betting or trading advice.