RUSHTON

Independent Prediction Market Ratings

HOW WE RATE RUSHTON PRO
HOW WE RATE RUSHTON PRO

CLOSER TO THE EDGE.

Rushton finds prediction markets where the price might not be the probability.

60,811
Historical Markets
Catalogued
8.88M
Historical
Observations
1181
Live Markets
Reviewed
31
Ratings
Published
NEW RATINGS EDITION AVAILABLE ·    VIEW LATEST RATINGS →
Crypto
Bitcoin
✓
RUSHTON RATINGS · KALSHI · POLYMARKET
15,460
BITCOIN MARKETS CATALOGUED
329 MARKETS ASSESSED THIS EDITION
Rushton rates supported markets independently. The highest-confidence Ratings earn homepage attention.
HIGHLY RATED
Kalshi
Bitcoin price on Sep 24, 2026? $85,000 or above
Rushton Rating
94
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 1000 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 26.0%
Historical Probability 49.0%
Difference +23pp
Historical probability is above market price
View Rating →
Polymarket
Bitcoin price on Sep 24, 2026? $80,000 or above
Rushton Rating
79
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 100 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 99.0%
Historical Probability 79.0%
Difference -20pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
Bitcoin price on Sep 24, 2026? $83,250 or above
Rushton Rating
94
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 1000 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 74.0%
Historical Probability 55.0%
Difference -19pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
Bitcoin price on Sep 24, 2026? $83,500 or above
Rushton Rating
94
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 1000 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 68.0%
Historical Probability 51.0%
Difference -17pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
Bitcoin price on Sep 24, 2026? $84,750 or above
Rushton Rating
94
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 1000 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 33.0%
Historical Probability 48.0%
Difference +15pp
Historical probability is above market price
View Rating →
Kalshi
Bitcoin price on Sep 24, 2026? $83,750 or above
Rushton Rating
94
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 1000 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 60.0%
Historical Probability 49.0%
Difference -11pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Polymarket
Bitcoin price on Sep 24, 2026? $86,000 or above
Rushton Rating
80
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 100 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 7.0%
Historical Probability 15.0%
Difference +8pp
Historical probability is above market price
View Rating →
Polymarket
Bitcoin price on Sep 24, 2026? $84,000 or above
Rushton Rating
80
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 100 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 56.0%
Historical Probability 49.0%
Difference -7pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
Bitcoin price on Sep 24, 2026? $84,500 or above
Rushton Rating
93
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 1000 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 39.0%
Historical Probability 46.0%
Difference +7pp
Historical probability is above market price
View Rating →
Kalshi
Bitcoin price on Sep 24, 2026? $84,000 or above
Rushton Rating
94
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 1000 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 55.0%
Historical Probability 49.0%
Difference -6pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Crypto
Ethereum
✓
RUSHTON RATINGS · KALSHI · POLYMARKET
15,152
ETHEREUM MARKETS CATALOGUED
390 MARKETS ASSESSED THIS EDITION
Rushton rates supported markets independently. The highest-confidence Ratings earn homepage attention.
HIGHLY RATED
Polymarket
Ethereum price on Sep 24, 2026? $2,600 or above
Rushton Rating
78
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 100 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 94.0%
Historical Probability 77.0%
Difference -17pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Polymarket
Ethereum price on Sep 24, 2026? $2,700 or above
Rushton Rating
79
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 100 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 28.0%
Historical Probability 39.0%
Difference +11pp
Historical probability is above market price
View Rating →
Commodities
Gold
✓
RUSHTON RATINGS · KALSHI · POLYMARKET
1,295
GOLD MARKETS CATALOGUED
80 MARKETS ASSESSED THIS EDITION
Rushton rates supported markets independently. The highest-confidence Ratings earn homepage attention.
HIGHLY RATED
Kalshi
Gold price on Sep 24, 2026? $4,248 USD/t.oz or above
Rushton Rating
67
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 31 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 74.0%
Historical Probability 61.0%
Difference -13pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
Gold price on Sep 24, 2026? $4,288 USD/t.oz or above
Rushton Rating
68
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 30 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 38.0%
Historical Probability 50.0%
Difference +12pp
Historical probability is above market price
View Rating →
Kalshi
Gold price on Sep 24, 2026? $4,258 USD/t.oz or above
Rushton Rating
66
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 31 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 69.0%
Historical Probability 58.0%
Difference -11pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
Gold price on Sep 24, 2026? $4,238 USD/t.oz or above
Rushton Rating
67
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 30 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 84.0%
Historical Probability 77.0%
Difference -7pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
Gold price on Sep 24, 2026? $4,268 USD/t.oz or above
Rushton Rating
67
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 30 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 59.0%
Historical Probability 53.0%
Difference -6pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
Gold price on Sep 24, 2026? $4,298 USD/t.oz or above
Rushton Rating
66
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 29 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 29.0%
Historical Probability 34.0%
Difference +5pp
Historical probability is above market price
View Rating →
Commodities
Oil
✓
RUSHTON RATINGS · KALSHI · POLYMARKET
1,344
OIL MARKETS CATALOGUED
135 MARKETS ASSESSED THIS EDITION
Rushton rates supported markets independently. The highest-confidence Ratings earn homepage attention.
HIGHLY RATED
Kalshi
WTI crude oil price on Sep 24, 2026? $91.99 USD/Bbl or above
Rushton Rating
65
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 34 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 51.0%
Historical Probability 38.0%
Difference -13pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
WTI crude oil price on Sep 24, 2026? $90.99 USD/Bbl or above
Rushton Rating
65
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 39 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 65.0%
Historical Probability 56.0%
Difference -9pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
WTI crude oil price on Sep 24, 2026? $89.99 USD/Bbl or above
Rushton Rating
66
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 43 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 79.0%
Historical Probability 72.0%
Difference -7pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
WTI crude oil price on Sep 25, 2026? $92.99 USD/Bbl or above
Rushton Rating
67
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 44 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 40.0%
Historical Probability 34.0%
Difference -6pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
WTI crude oil price on Sep 24, 2026? $90.49 USD/Bbl or above
Rushton Rating
67
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 44 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 74.0%
Historical Probability 68.0%
Difference -6pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
WTI crude oil price on Sep 25, 2026? $95.99 USD/Bbl or above
Rushton Rating
65
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 48 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 12.0%
Historical Probability 6.0%
Difference -6pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
WTI crude oil price on Sep 24, 2026? $94.99 USD/Bbl or above
Rushton Rating
71
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 46 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 12.0%
Historical Probability 7.0%
Difference -5pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
WTI crude oil price on Sep 25, 2026? $91.49 USD/Bbl or above
Rushton Rating
67
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 44 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 60.0%
Historical Probability 55.0%
Difference -5pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
WTI crude oil price on Sep 24, 2026? $92.99 USD/Bbl or above
Rushton Rating
67
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 39 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 36.0%
Historical Probability 31.0%
Difference -5pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Commodities
Silver
✓
RUSHTON RATINGS · KALSHI · POLYMARKET
1,758
SILVER MARKETS CATALOGUED
40 MARKETS ASSESSED THIS EDITION
Rushton rates supported markets independently. The highest-confidence Ratings earn homepage attention.
HIGHLY RATED
Kalshi
Silver price on Sep 24, 2026? $63.00 USD/t.oz or above
Rushton Rating
69
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 42 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 85.0%
Historical Probability 76.0%
Difference -9pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
Silver price on Sep 24, 2026? $62.75 USD/t.oz or above
Rushton Rating
63
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 40 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 94.0%
Historical Probability 88.0%
Difference -6pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
Silver price on Sep 24, 2026? $63.25 USD/t.oz or above
Rushton Rating
68
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 41 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 77.0%
Historical Probability 71.0%
Difference -6pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
Kalshi
Silver price on Sep 24, 2026? $65.25 USD/t.oz or above
Rushton Rating
69
Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 43 MARKETS
Today's Market (current edition) 12.0%
Historical Probability 7.0%
Difference -5pp
Market price is above historical probability
View Rating →
RUSHTON
Ratings Engine
Building Market Rating
Initialising market Rating...