Rushton | Independent Prediction Market Ratings

HOW WE RATE RUSHTON PRO

CLOSER TO THE EDGE.

Rushton finds prediction markets where the price might not be the probability.

60,811

Historical Markets
Catalogued

8.88M

Historical
Observations

1108

Live Markets
Reviewed

Ratings
Published

Crypto

Bitcoin

✓

RUSHTON RATINGS · KALSHI · POLYMARKET

15,460

BITCOIN MARKETS CATALOGUED

329 MARKETS ASSESSED THIS EDITION

Rushton rates supported markets independently. The highest-confidence Ratings earn homepage attention.

HIGHLY RATED

Kalshi

Bitcoin price on Nov 8, 2026? $75,000 or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 1000 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 82.0%

Historical Probability 62.0%

Difference -20pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

Bitcoin price on Nov 8, 2026? $75,750 or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 1000 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 50.0%

Historical Probability 61.0%

Difference +11pp

Historical probability is above market price

View Rating →

Kalshi

Bitcoin price on Nov 8, 2026? $75,250 or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 1000 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 73.0%

Historical Probability 64.0%

Difference -9pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Polymarket

Bitcoin price on Nov 8, 2026? $76,000 or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 100 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 35.0%

Historical Probability 42.0%

Difference +6pp

Historical probability is above market price

View Rating →

Polymarket

Bitcoin price on Nov 8, 2026? $78,000 or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 100 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 2.0%

Historical Probability 8.0%

Difference +6pp

Historical probability is above market price

View Rating →

Crypto

Ethereum

✓

RUSHTON RATINGS · KALSHI · POLYMARKET

15,152

ETHEREUM MARKETS CATALOGUED

390 MARKETS ASSESSED THIS EDITION

Rushton rates supported markets independently. The highest-confidence Ratings earn homepage attention.

HIGHLY RATED

Polymarket

Ethereum price on Nov 8, 2026? $2,200 or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 100 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 90.0%

Historical Probability 71.0%

Difference -19pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Polymarket

Ethereum price on Nov 8, 2026? $2,300 or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 100 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 2.0%

Historical Probability 13.0%

Difference +10pp

Historical probability is above market price

View Rating →

Commodities

Gold

✓

RUSHTON RATINGS · KALSHI · POLYMARKET

1,295

GOLD MARKETS CATALOGUED

40 MARKETS ASSESSED THIS EDITION

Rushton rates supported markets independently. The highest-confidence Ratings earn homepage attention.

HIGHLY RATED

Kalshi

Gold price on Nov 9, 2026? $4,035 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 31 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 76.0%

Historical Probability 61.0%

Difference -15pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

Gold price on Nov 9, 2026? $4,025 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 32 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 80.0%

Historical Probability 66.0%

Difference -14pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

Gold price on Nov 9, 2026? $4,085 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 31 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 43.0%

Historical Probability 55.0%

Difference +12pp

Historical probability is above market price

View Rating →

Kalshi

Gold price on Nov 9, 2026? $4,045 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 32 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 70.0%

Historical Probability 59.0%

Difference -11pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

Gold price on Nov 9, 2026? $4,015 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 33 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 84.0%

Historical Probability 76.0%

Difference -8pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

Gold price on Nov 9, 2026? $4,055 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 31 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 63.0%

Historical Probability 55.0%

Difference -8pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

Gold price on Nov 9, 2026? $4,095 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 31 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 35.0%

Historical Probability 42.0%

Difference +7pp

Historical probability is above market price

View Rating →

Kalshi

Gold price on Nov 9, 2026? $4,115 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 30 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 24.0%

Historical Probability 30.0%

Difference +6pp

Historical probability is above market price

View Rating →

Kalshi

Gold price on Nov 9, 2026? $4,135 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 31 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 15.0%

Historical Probability 10.0%

Difference -5pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Commodities

Oil

✓

RUSHTON RATINGS · KALSHI · POLYMARKET

1,344

OIL MARKETS CATALOGUED

60 MARKETS ASSESSED THIS EDITION

Rushton rates supported markets independently. The highest-confidence Ratings earn homepage attention.

HIGHLY RATED

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $88.49 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 43 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 69.0%

Historical Probability 53.0%

Difference -16pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $91.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 42 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 35.0%

Historical Probability 21.0%

Difference -14pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $88.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 43 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 69.0%

Historical Probability 56.0%

Difference -13pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $90.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 46 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 43.0%

Historical Probability 30.0%

Difference -13pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $90.49 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 45 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 48.0%

Historical Probability 36.0%

Difference -12pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $91.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 40 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 32.0%

Historical Probability 20.0%

Difference -12pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $89.49 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 44 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 62.0%

Historical Probability 50.0%

Difference -12pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $89.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 40 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 54.0%

Historical Probability 42.0%

Difference -12pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $90.49 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 45 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 49.0%

Historical Probability 38.0%

Difference -11pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $91.49 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 43 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 39.0%

Historical Probability 28.0%

Difference -11pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $88.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 43 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 64.0%

Historical Probability 53.0%

Difference -11pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $88.49 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 44 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 74.0%

Historical Probability 64.0%

Difference -10pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $91.49 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 43 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 37.0%

Historical Probability 28.0%

Difference -9pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $87.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 48 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 75.0%

Historical Probability 67.0%

Difference -8pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $92.49 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 44 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 31.0%

Historical Probability 23.0%

Difference -8pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $90.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 39 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 44.0%

Historical Probability 36.0%

Difference -8pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $94.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 46 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 16.0%

Historical Probability 9.0%

Difference -7pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $94.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 45 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 11.0%

Historical Probability 4.0%

Difference -7pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $89.49 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 38 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 59.0%

Historical Probability 53.0%

Difference -6pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $87.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 46 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 80.0%

Historical Probability 74.0%

Difference -6pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $87.49 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 48 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 79.0%

Historical Probability 73.0%

Difference -6pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $85.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 47 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 90.0%

Historical Probability 96.0%

Difference +6pp

Historical probability is above market price

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $93.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 43 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 15.0%

Historical Probability 9.0%

Difference -6pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $95.99 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 42 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 8.0%

Historical Probability 2.0%

Difference -6pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $95.49 USD/Bbl or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 45 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 10.0%

Historical Probability 4.0%

Difference -6pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Commodities

Silver

✓

RUSHTON RATINGS · KALSHI · POLYMARKET

1,758

SILVER MARKETS CATALOGUED

40 MARKETS ASSESSED THIS EDITION

Rushton rates supported markets independently. The highest-confidence Ratings earn homepage attention.

HIGHLY RATED

Kalshi

Silver price on Nov 9, 2026? $50.50 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 41 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 89.0%

Historical Probability 80.0%

Difference -9pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

Silver price on Nov 9, 2026? $51.00 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 41 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 84.0%

Historical Probability 76.0%

Difference -8pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

Silver price on Nov 9, 2026? $51.25 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 41 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 81.0%

Historical Probability 73.0%

Difference -8pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

Silver price on Nov 9, 2026? $53.75 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 43 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 12.0%

Historical Probability 5.0%

Difference -7pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

Silver price on Nov 9, 2026? $54.00 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 44 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 9.0%

Historical Probability 2.0%

Difference -7pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →

Kalshi

Silver price on Nov 9, 2026? $50.75 USD/t.oz or above

Rushton Rating

Historical Evidence (max 1,000) 41 MARKETS

Today's Market (current edition) 86.0%

Historical Probability 80.0%

Difference -6pp

Market price is above historical probability

View Rating →