Oil Prediction Market Ratings

COMMODITIES · OIL

Oil Prediction Markets

Rushton compares today's oil prediction-market probabilities with outcomes from historically similar resolved markets — adding quantitative historical context to the probability you see today.

LIVE INTELLIGENCE

Today's Oil Intelligence

Only markets that satisfy Rushton's qualification and publication standards appear here.

TOP ASSESSMENT

Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $88.99 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 44 markets

Today's Market 63.0%

Historical Probability 45.0%

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Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $90.99 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 44 markets

Today's Market 42.0%

Historical Probability 27.0%

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Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $87.99 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 44 markets

Today's Market 73.0%

Historical Probability 59.0%

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Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $88.49 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 44 markets

Today's Market 68.0%

Historical Probability 55.0%

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Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $91.49 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 44 markets

Today's Market 38.0%

Historical Probability 25.0%

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Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $89.49 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 40 markets

Today's Market 58.0%

Historical Probability 45.0%

VIEW ASSESSMENT →

Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $89.99 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 43 markets

Today's Market 52.0%

Historical Probability 40.0%

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Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $88.99 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 44 markets

Today's Market 67.0%

Historical Probability 55.0%

VIEW ASSESSMENT →

Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $89.99 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 41 markets

Today's Market 56.0%

Historical Probability 44.0%

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Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $90.49 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 47 markets

Today's Market 47.0%

Historical Probability 36.0%

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Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $91.99 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 44 markets

Today's Market 33.0%

Historical Probability 23.0%

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Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $91.49 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 38 markets

Today's Market 36.0%

Historical Probability 26.0%

VIEW ASSESSMENT →

Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $91.99 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 43 markets

Today's Market 31.0%

Historical Probability 23.0%

VIEW ASSESSMENT →

Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $90.49 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 43 markets

Today's Market 47.0%

Historical Probability 40.0%

VIEW ASSESSMENT →

Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $94.99 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 46 markets

Today's Market 11.0%

Historical Probability 4.0%

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Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $88.49 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 45 markets

Today's Market 73.0%

Historical Probability 67.0%

VIEW ASSESSMENT →

Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $90.99 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 43 markets

Today's Market 41.0%

Historical Probability 35.0%

VIEW ASSESSMENT →

Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $89.49 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 40 markets

Today's Market 61.0%

Historical Probability 55.0%

VIEW ASSESSMENT →

Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $94.49 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 45 markets

Today's Market 17.0%

Historical Probability 11.0%

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Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 9, 2026? $95.49 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 46 markets

Today's Market 10.0%

Historical Probability 4.0%

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Rushton Score

Kalshi

WTI crude oil price on Nov 10, 2026? $92.99 USD/Bbl or above

Historical Evidence 44 markets

Today's Market 26.0%

Historical Probability 20.0%

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What is an oil prediction market?

An oil prediction market allows participants to trade contracts around a defined future Oil outcome, such as whether Oil will finish above a particular price. The market price can be interpreted as the probability currently implied by traders.

What does Rushton add?

Today's market probability tells you what the market believes now. Rushton adds another perspective by finding historically comparable resolved markets and examining what actually happened in those cases.

Today's probability vs historical probability

These numbers answer different questions. Today's probability reflects the current market price. Historical probability describes the outcomes observed across Rushton's comparable historical sample. A difference between them is context — not a guarantee about what happens next.

Why doesn't Rushton show every market?

Rushton deliberately filters the market universe. Markets must satisfy liquidity, pricing, timing and evidence standards before they are published. Sometimes the correct intelligence report is that no market currently qualifies.

How Rushton assesses prediction markets

Rushton is an intelligence layer for prediction markets. It uses historical evidence to place today's probability in context rather than telling users what to buy. Comparable markets, evidence strength and market maturity all matter before an assessment is published.

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